Super Typhoon Pepito PAGASA weather update November 17, 2024

MANILA, Philippines – Life-threatening conditions continue over the eastern section of Southern Luzon as Super Typhoon Pepito (international name: Man-yi) moves over the sea east of Bicol region, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am update on Sunday, November 17, 2024.

As of 4:00 am today, the center of the eye of Super Typhoon Pepito was estimated based on all available data including from Laoang, Masbate, Daet, and Baler Weather Radars at 85 km Northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte.

'Bagyong Pepito' has maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 255 km/h, and central pressure of 925 hPa. It is moving west northwestward at 15 km/h.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

Signal No. 5 was hoisted over the eastern portion of Polillo Islands (Patnanungan, Jomalig) and Calaguas Islands.

Signal No. 4 was raised in the following Luzon areas:

• the northeastern portion of Camarines Sur (Goa, San Jose, Tinambac, Siruma, Lagonoy, Presentacion, Caramoan, Garchitorena)
• the rest of Camarines Norte
• the northern and western portions of Catanduanes (Pandan, Bagamanoc, Panganiban, Viga, Caramoran, San Andres)
• the northern portion of mainland Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta)
• the rest of Polillo Islands
• the central and southern portions of Aurora (Dingalan, San Luis, Maria Aurora, Baler, Dipaculao, Dinalungan)
• the eastern portion of Nueva Ecija (General Tinio, Gabaldon, Laur, Bongabon, Palayan City, Pantabangan, Rizal, General Mamerto Natividad)
• the southeastern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Alfonso Castañeda)
• the southern portion of Quirino (Nagtipunan)

Signal No. 3 is up in the following areas:

• the rest of Camarines Sur
• the rest of Catanduanes
• the northeastern portion of Albay (Santo Domingo, Polangui, Bacacay, Malilipot, City of Tabaco, Malinao, Rapu-Rapu, Tiwi)
• the eastern portion of Quezon (Calauag, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Buenavista, Lopez, Quezon, Perez, Alabat, Gumaca, Plaridel, Atimonan, Mauban, Sampaloc, Real)
• the eastern portion of Laguna (Santa Maria, Famy, Mabitac, Pakil, Pangil, Siniloan, Paete, Kalayaan, Lumban, Cavinti)
• the eastern and central portions of Rizal (Pililla, Tanay, City of Antipolo, Rodriguez, Baras, San Mateo, Morong, Teresa)
• the rest of Aurora
• the eastern and central portions of Bulacan (Norzagaray, San Miguel, San Ildefonso, San Rafael, Doña Remedios Trinidad, Angat, City of San Jose del Monte, Santa Maria, Pandi, Baliuag, Bustos, Pulilan, Plaridel)
• the northeastern portion of Pampanga (Candaba, Arayat, Magalang, San Luis, San Simon, Mexico, Santa Ana, Apalit, Santo Tomas, City of San Fernando, Mabalacat City, Angeles City)
• the rest of Nueva Ecija
• Tarlac
• the northern portion of Zambales (Santa Cruz, Candelaria, Masinloc, Palauig)
• the rest of Nueva Vizcaya
• the rest of Quirino
• the southern portion of Isabela (San Agustin, Jones, Echague, San Guillermo, Angadanan, Alicia, San Mateo, Ramon, San Isidro, City of Santiago, Cordon)
• the central and southern portions of Ilocos Sur (Alilem, Sugpon, Cervantes, Suyo, Tagudin, Narvacan, Quirino, Sigay, Gregorio del Pilar, San Emilio, Santa Cruz, Salcedo, Banayoyo, City of Candon, Galimuyod, Santa Lucia, Lidlidda, Santa Maria, Burgos, Santiago, San Esteban, Nagbukel)
• La Union
• Pangasinan
• Benguet
• Ifugao
• the western portion of Mountain Province (Sabangan, Bauko, Tadian, Bontoc, Sagada, Besao, Sadanga, Barlig)
• the southern portion of Abra (Tubo, Luba, Pilar, Villaviciosa, San Isidro)

Signal No. 2 in the following areas:

• Sorsogon
• the rest of Albay
• Ticao Island
• Burias Island
• the northern portion of Marinduque (Santa Cruz, Boac, Mogpog, Torrijos)
• the rest of Quezon
• the rest of Laguna
• the rest of Rizal
• Cavite
• the northern portion of Batangas (City of Tanauan, Santo Tomas, Talisay, Lipa City, Malvar, Balete, Mataasnakahoy, Laurel, Padre Garcia, San Juan, Rosario)
• Metro Manila
• Bataan
• the rest of Pampanga
• the rest of Bulacan
• the rest of Zambales
• the southwestern portion of Cagayan (Enrile, Tuao, Solana, Tuguegarao City, Piat, Rizal)
• the rest of Isabela
• the rest of Abra
• the southern portion of Apayao (Conner, Kabugao)
• Kalinga
• the rest of Mountain Province
• the rest of Ilocos Sur
• the southern portion of Ilocos Norte (Pinili, City of Batac, Banna, Nueva Era, Badoc, Currimao, Marcos, Solsona, Dingras, Sarrat, Paoay, Laoag City, San Nicolas)

Signal No. 1 in the following areas:

Luzon

• the rest of Masbate
• the rest of Marinduque
• the northern portion of Romblon (Cajidiocan, San Fernando, Magdiwang, Romblon, Banton, Corcuera, Santa Maria,
• Concepcion, Odiongan, San Andres, Calatrava, San Agustin)
• the northern and central portions of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Naujan, Baco, Victoria, Socorro, Pinamalayan, Bansud, Gloria, Pola, City of Calapan, Bongabong)
• the northern and central portions of Occidental Mindoro (Sablayan, Santa Cruz, Mamburao, Abra de Ilog, Paluan) including Lubang Islands
• the rest of Batangas
• the rest of mainland Cagayan
• the rest of Apayao
• the rest of Ilocos Norte

Visayas

• Northern Samar
• the northern portion of Samar (San Jorge, Matuguinao, Almagro, Calbayog, Pagsanghan, Gandara, Santo Niño, Tagapul-An, San Jose de Buan, Santa Margarita, Tarangnan)
• the northern portion of Eastern Samar (Maslog, San Policarpo, Dolores, Jipapad, Oras, Arteche)

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

Pepito will move west northwestward over the waters north of Camarines Provinces (with a landfall or close approach over Calaguas Islands not ruled out) this morning.

It will then pass close or over Polillo Islands by late morning, before making landfall over northern Quezon or central or southern Aurora between this noon and afternoon.

Afterwards, Pepito will cross the northern portion of Central Luzon and the southern portion of Northern Luzon along the upland areas of Sierra Madre, Caraballo, and Cordillera Central between this afternoon and evening.

Pepito will emerge over the coastal waters of Pangasinan or La Union tonight or tomorrow (November 18) early morning.

Over the West Philippine Sea, Pepito will continue moving west northwestward tomorrow. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning or afternoon.

Outside the PAR region, the tropical cyclone will turn more westward or west southwestward on Tuesday (November 19).

Pepito is forecast to slightly weaken as a typhoon over Aurora. Significant weakening will occur during the passage of tropical cyclone over mainland Luzon today, but it will likely remain as a typhoon throughout its passage over mainland Luzon.

TROPICAL CYCLONES THIS YEAR

'Bagyong Ofel' is the Philippines' 15th tropical cyclone for 2024. It entered the PAR early Tuesday morning, November 12.

On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.

READ: LIST: PAGASA releases Philippine Typhoon names in 2024

— The Summit Express