MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Nika' (international name: Toraki) has made landfall over Dilasag, Aurora and is now traversing Northern Luzon, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 a.m. bulletin on Monday, November 11, 2024.
At 10:00 a.m. today, the center of Typhoon Nika was estimated based on all available data in the vicinity of San Agustin, Isabela.
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| Satellite image of Typhoon Nika as of 11:00 am, November 11, 2024. Photo courtesy: DOST-PAGASA |
'Bagyong Nika' has maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 180 km/h, and central pressure of 965 hPa. It is moving northwestward at 25 km/h.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
Signal No. 4 was hoisted over the following areas:
- the northernmost portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran)
- the central and southern portions of Isabela (Dinapigue, San Mariano, San Guillermo, Jones, Echague, Ramon, San Isidro, City of Santiago, Cordon, Roxas, Burgos, Reina Mercedes, Naguilian, Benito Soliven, Gamu, San Manuel, Aurora, San Mateo, Cabatuan, Alicia, Luna, City of Cauayan, Angadanan, Quezon, Mallig, Quirino, Ilagan City, Delfin Albano, San Agustin)
- Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- the northern portion of Ifugao (Aguinaldo, Mayoyao, Alfonso Lista, Banaue, Hungduan, Hingyon, Lagawe)
- the central and southern portion of Abra (Manabo, Pidigan, San Juan, Tayum, Langiden, Luba, Boliney, Sallapadan, Bucloc, Lagangilang, Tubo, Danglas, Villaviciosa, La Paz, Licuan-Baay, Pilar, Malibcong, Pe, San Isidro, Daguioman, San Quintin, Dolores, Lagayan, Bangued, Bucay, Lacub)
- and the northern and central portions of Ilocos Sur (Cabugao, Sinait, San Juan, San Emilio, Lidlidda, Banayoyo, Santiago, San Esteban, Burgos, Santa Maria, Magsingal, San Vicente, Santa Catalina, Nagbukel, San Ildefonso, City of Vigan, Caoayan, Santa, Bantay, Santo Domingo, Narvacan, Quirino, Cervantes, Sigay, Salcedo, Santa Lucia, City of Candon, Galimuyod, Gregorio del Pilar, Santa Cruz)
Signal No. 3 was raised over the following areas:
- the central portion of Aurora (Dinalungan)
- the northern portion of Quirino (Diffun, Cabarroguis, Aglipay, Saguday, Maddela)
- the northeastern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Diadi, Bagabag, Quezon, Solano, Villaverde, Kasibu, Ambaguio, Bayombong)
- the rest of Isabela
- the southwestern portion of Cagayan (Enrile, Solana, Tuao, Tuguegarao City, Rizal, Piat)
- the southern portion of Apayao (Conner, Kabugao)
- the rest of Abra
- the rest of Ifugao
- the northern portion of Benguet (Buguias, Mankayan, Bakun)
- the southern portion of Ilocos Norte (Laoag City, Sarrat, San Nicolas, Piddig, Marcos, Nueva Era, Dingras, Bacarra, Solsona, Paoay, Currimao, Pinili, Badoc, City of Batac, Banna), and
- the rest of Ilocos Sur
Signal No. 2 is up over:
- the northwestern and eastern portions of Cagayan (Iguig, Peñablanca, Baggao, Alcala, Amulung, Santo Niño, Gattaran, Lasam, Santa Praxedes, Claveria, Sanchez-Mira, Pamplona, Abulug, Allacapan, Ballesteros, Lal-Lo, Aparri, Camalaniugan, Buguey, Santa Teresita, Gonzaga)
- the rest of Nueva Vizcaya
- the rest of Quirino
- the rest of Apayao
- the rest of Benguet
- the rest of Ilocos Norte
- La Union
- the northeastern portion of Pangasinan (San Nicolas, Natividad, San Quintin, Sison, San Manuel, Umingan, Tayug)
- the central portion of Aurora (Dipaculao, Maria Aurora, Baler)
- and the northern portion of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Pantabangan, Lupao, San Jose City)
Signal No. 1 was raised over:
- Babuyan Islands
- the rest of mainland Cagayan
- the rest of Pangasinan
- the rest of Aurora
- the rest of Nueva Ecija
- Bulacan
- Pampanga
- Tarlac
- the northern and central portions of Zambales (Santa Cruz, Candelaria, Masinloc, Palauig, Iba, Botolan, Cabangan, San Marcelino, San Felipe, San Narciso)
- Metro Manila
- Rizal
- the eastern portion of Laguna (Santa Maria, Mabitac, Pakil, Pangil, Famy, Siniloan, Paete, Kalayaan, Cavinti, Lumban, Luisiana, Santa Cruz, Magdalena, Pagsanjan, Pila)
- the northern and eastern portions of Quezon (Infanta, Sampaloc, Mauban, Real, General Nakar) including Pollilo Islands
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
'Bagyong Nika' will traverse the landmass of mainland Luzon today and emerge over the sea west of Ilocos Sur this afternoon or evening.
Regardless of the position of the center in the next several hours, it must be emphasized that hazards on land and coastal waters may still be experienced in areas outside the forecast confidence cone.
Afterwards, 'Nika' will move west northwestward over West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow (November 12) morning or afternoon.
'Nika' is forecast to continue to move generally west northwestward until Thursday (November 14) before turning generally southwestward on Friday (November 15) onwards.
This tropical cyclone may weaken into a severe tropical storm while traversing mainland Luzon due to land interaction. A generally weakening trend may then be expected for this tropical cyclone until it becomes a remnant low over the sea near southern China.
TROPICAL CYCLONES THIS YEAR
'Bagyong Nika' is the Philippines' 14th tropical cyclone for 2024. It developed into a Tropical Depression on Saturday morning, November 9.
Meanwhile, the tropical depression tracked at 1,480 km East of Eastern Visayas (outside PAR) continues to intensify as it moves northwestward at a fast pace.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
READ: LIST: PAGASA releases Philippine Typhoon names in 2024
— The Summit Express
