'Bagyong Marce' PAGASA weather update November 4, 2024

MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Storm Marce (international name: Yinxing) slightly intensified as it moves northwestward over the Philippine Sea, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 a.m. bulletin on Monday, November 4, 2024.

At 10:00 a.m. today, the center of Tropical Storm 'Marce' was estimated based on all available data at 775 km East of Borongan City, Eastern Samar.

Bagyong Marce 2024 update
Satellite image of Tropical Storm Marce as of 11 am, November 4, 2024. Photo courtesy: DOST-PAGASA

'Bagyong Marce' has maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 90 km/h, and central pressure of 998 hPa. It is moving west northwestward at 35 km/h.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

No Wind Signal currently hoisted.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

'Bagyong Marce' is forecast to move generally west northwestward today until tomorrow (November 5) before turning westward at a slow pace over the Philippine Sea east of Extreme Northern Luzon.

On the track forecast, 'Marce' will make landfall in the vicinity of Babuyan Islands or mainland northern Cagayan on Thursday evening (November 7) or Friday (November 8) early morning.

Due to uncertainty in the strength of the high pressure area north of 'Marce', the forecast track may still change and bring the landfall point to mainland Cagayan-Isabela area.

This tropical cyclone is expected to gradually intensify and may reach severe tropical storm category by tomorrow (November 5). Furthermore, it may also reach typhoon category by tomorrow evening or Wednesday early morning. Rapid intensification is likely.

track of Bagyong Marce

HEAVY RAINFALL OUTLOOK

As 'Marce' moves northwestward within the PAR region, it may enhance the northeasterly wind flow which may occur within the week.

This, and the trough of the tropical cyclone, will bring rains over Extreme Northern Luzon and the eastern section of Luzon beginning today or on Tuesday.

SEVERE WINDS

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 may be hoisted over portions of Cagayan by tomorrow. The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of 'Marce' is Wind Signal No. 4.

TROPICAL CYCLONES THIS YEAR

'Bagyong Marce' is the Philippines' 13th tropical cyclone for 2024. It entered Philippine area of responsibility at 2 a.m. Monday.

On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.

READ: LIST: PAGASA releases Philippine Typhoon names in 2024

— The Summit Express



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