MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Julian' further intensified and nearing super typhoon category, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 8:00 am update on Monday, September 30, 2024.
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| Satellite image of Typhoon Julian as of 8:00 a.m. on Monday, September 30, 2024. Photo courtesy: PAGASA |
As of 7:00 a.m. today, the center of the eye of Typhoon Julian was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Balintang Is., Calayan, Cagayan.
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'Julian' has maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 215 km/h, and central pressure of 940 hPa. It is moving west northwestward at 10 km/h.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
Signal No. 4 or typhoon-force winds was hoisted in Batanes and the northern portion of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan Island, Calayan Island).
Signal No. 3 (Storm-force winds) was raised over the rest of Babuyan Islands and the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana).
Signal No. 2 is up over the mainland Cagayan, Apayao, northern portion of Abra (Tineg, Lacub, Malibcong, Licuan-Baay, San Juan, Lagayan, Lagangilang, Dolores, Daguioman, Danglas, La Paz), northern portion Kalinga (Pinukpuk, Balbalan, City of Tabuk, Rizal), Ilocos Norte, and the northern portion of Ilocos Sur (Sinait, Cabugao).
Meanwhile, Signal No. 1 was raised over the areas of Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, the rest of Abra, the rest of Kalinga, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Benguet, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Aurora, the northern and eastern portions of Nueva Ecija (Cuyapo, Rizal, Laur, Pantabangan, Science City of Muñoz, Gabaldon, Carranglan, San Jose City, Lupao, Talugtug, Bongabon, Llanera, Talavera, Palayan City, General Mamerto Natividad), and Polillo Islands.
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| Photo courtesy: PAGASA |
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
'Julian' is forecast to move generally west northwestward over the Balintang Channel today and pass very close to Balintang Island and Batanes. A landfall scenario over these areas remains likely. Nevertheless, this typhoon will be at its closest to Batanes and Babuyan Islands this morning through afternoon.
The typhoon will begin recurving tomorrow (October 1) while moving slowly, then turn generally northeastward on Wednesday (October 2) towards the southwestern coast of Taiwan, where it is forecast to make landfall on Wednesday morning or afternoon. PAGASA said 'Julian' may briefly leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) during this period but bulletins are expected to continue.
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| Photo courtesy: PAGASA |
The typhoon will then cross the rugged terrain of Taiwan and emerge over the waters east of Taiwan by Thursday (October 3) morning. Afterwards, the typhoon will gradually accelerate northeastward towards the East China Sea and exit the PAR region on Thursday morning or afternoon.
Julian will continue intensifying and may reach super typhoon category tomorrow at the start of its recurvature. Interaction with the rugged terrain of Taiwan will trigger a weakening trend prior to landfall, although JULIAN is forecast to remain as a typhoon until it exits the PAR region.
— The Summit Express
