MANILA, Philippines – Typhoon 'Egay' (international name: Doksuri) further intensified and is nearing super typhoon category, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am bulletin on Tuesday, July 25, 2023.
At 4:00 am today, the center of the eye of Typhoon 'Egay' was estimated based on all available data including those from Daet Doppler Weather Radar at 350 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.
'Egay' has maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 215 km/h, and central pressure of 935 hPa. It is moving west northwestward at 15 km/h.
SEE ALSO: 'Bagyong Egay' PAGASA weather update July 26, 2023
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| Satellite image of 'Bagyong Egay' as of 4:40 am, July 25, 2023. Photo courtesy of DOST-PAGASA |
At 4:00 am today, the center of the eye of Typhoon 'Egay' was estimated based on all available data including those from Daet Doppler Weather Radar at 350 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.
'Egay' has maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 215 km/h, and central pressure of 935 hPa. It is moving west northwestward at 15 km/h.
SEE ALSO: 'Bagyong Egay' PAGASA weather update July 26, 2023
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 680 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 3
LUZON
TCWS No. 2
LUZON
TCWS No. 1
LUZON
VISAYAS
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Typhoon 'Egay' is forecast to move northwestward in the next 12 hours before turning generally west northwestward and cross the Luzon Strait.
On the track forecast, this typhoon is forecast to make landfall or pass very close to Babuyan Islands-northeastern mainland Cagayan area between late evening today and tomorrow afternoon.
Slight northward or southward shift in this segment of the track (but within the forecast confidence cone) may result in a landfall or close approach over northern mainland Cagayan or Batanes.
After passing the Babuyan Islands, 'Egay' will turn northwestward or north northwestward and pass over the waters south of Taiwan.
It is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday morning. Outside the PAR region, 'Egay' will cross the Taiwan Strait and make landfall in the vicinity of Fujian, China on Friday morning.
'Egay' is forecast to continue intensifying and reach super typhoon category within 12 hours, although the window of intensification for this typhoon is closing.
A weakening trend may begin as the typhoon passes over the Babuyan Islands due to the potential onset of eyewall replacement cycle and interaction with the rugged terrain of Northern Luzon.
Further weakening is expected outside the PAR region due to increasingly unfavorable environment and the eventual landfall over the landmass of China.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas.
The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by 'Egay' will continue to bring occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas in the next three days.
There is a high risk of storm surge which may cause flooding in the low-lying and exposed coastal areas of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, and Ilocos Norte. Maximum surge heights may exceed 3.0 m is some of the warning areas.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Under the influence of 'Egay', a Gale Warning is in effect over several coastal waters along the seaboards of Northern Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas and eastern seaboards of Central Luzon and Northeastern Mindanao.
Rough to high or very high seas: Sea travel is risky for most vessels. All mariners are advised to remain in port or seek safe harbor until winds and waves subside.
Rough to very rough seas: Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts. For larger vessels, operating in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. Mariners without proper experience or operating ill-equipped vessels are advised to remain in port or seek safe harbor.
TROPICAL CYCLONES
'Bagyong Egay' is the fifth tropical cyclone for 2023. It originated from an area of low-pressure east of southeastern Luzon that developed into a tropical depression on Friday, July 21.
SEE ALSO: LIST: Typhoon, tropical cyclone names in the Philippines 2023
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
— The Summit Express
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 3
- Wind threat: Storm-force winds
- Warning lead time: 18 hours
- Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
- Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
LUZON
- Babuyan Islands,
- the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Peñablanca, Gattaran, Lal-Lo, Alcala, Santa Teresita, Buguey, Aparri, Camalaniugan, Ballesteros, Allacapan, Abulug, Claveria, Pamplona, Sanchez-Mira, Santa Praxedes, Lasam, Baggao, Amulung, Iguig)
- the northeastern portion of Isabela (Divilacan, Maconacon, Palanan)
- the northern portion of Apayao (Calanasan, Luna, Santa Marcela, Flora, Pudtol)
TCWS No. 2
- Wind threat: Gale-force winds
- Warning lead time: 24 hours
- Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
- Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
LUZON
- Batanes
- the rest of mainland Cagayan
- the rest of Isabela
- Quirino
- the northern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Kasibu, Quezon, Diadi, Bagabag, Ambaguio, Villaverde, Solano, Bayombong)
- the rest of Apayao
- Kalinga
- Abra
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- the northern portion of Benguet (Bakun, Mankayan, Buguias, Kabayan, Kibungan), Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur
- the northern and central portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao)
TCWS No. 1
- Wind threat: Strong winds
- Warning lead time: 36 hours
- Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
- Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
LUZON
- La Union
- Pangasinan
- the rest of Benguet
- the rest of Nueva Vizcaya
- the rest of Aurora
- Zambales
- Bataan
- Nueva Ecija
- Tarlac
- Pampanga
- Bulacan
- Metro Manila
- Rizal
- Laguna
- Cavite
- Batangas
- Quezon
- Marinduque
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- the northern portion of Masbate (Uson, Dimasalang, City of Masbate, Mobo, Palanas, Aroroy, Baleno) including Burias and Ticao Islands
VISAYAS
- Northern Samar
- the northern portion of Samar (San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao, Gandara, Santa Margarita, Calbayog City)
- the northern portion of Eastern Samar (Oras, Arteche, Jipapad, Dolores, San Policarpo, Maslog)
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Typhoon 'Egay' is forecast to move northwestward in the next 12 hours before turning generally west northwestward and cross the Luzon Strait.
On the track forecast, this typhoon is forecast to make landfall or pass very close to Babuyan Islands-northeastern mainland Cagayan area between late evening today and tomorrow afternoon.
Slight northward or southward shift in this segment of the track (but within the forecast confidence cone) may result in a landfall or close approach over northern mainland Cagayan or Batanes.
After passing the Babuyan Islands, 'Egay' will turn northwestward or north northwestward and pass over the waters south of Taiwan.
It is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday morning. Outside the PAR region, 'Egay' will cross the Taiwan Strait and make landfall in the vicinity of Fujian, China on Friday morning.
'Egay' is forecast to continue intensifying and reach super typhoon category within 12 hours, although the window of intensification for this typhoon is closing.
A weakening trend may begin as the typhoon passes over the Babuyan Islands due to the potential onset of eyewall replacement cycle and interaction with the rugged terrain of Northern Luzon.
Further weakening is expected outside the PAR region due to increasingly unfavorable environment and the eventual landfall over the landmass of China.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas.
The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by 'Egay' will continue to bring occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas in the next three days.
There is a high risk of storm surge which may cause flooding in the low-lying and exposed coastal areas of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, and Ilocos Norte. Maximum surge heights may exceed 3.0 m is some of the warning areas.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Under the influence of 'Egay', a Gale Warning is in effect over several coastal waters along the seaboards of Northern Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas and eastern seaboards of Central Luzon and Northeastern Mindanao.
Rough to high or very high seas: Sea travel is risky for most vessels. All mariners are advised to remain in port or seek safe harbor until winds and waves subside.
Rough to very rough seas: Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts. For larger vessels, operating in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. Mariners without proper experience or operating ill-equipped vessels are advised to remain in port or seek safe harbor.
Press Briefing: Typhoon "#EgayPH" Update Tuesday 5AM | July 25, 2023Press Briefing: Typhoon "#EgayPH" Update Tuesday 5AM | July 25, 2023 DOST-PAGASA Weather Specialist: Grace Castañeda #WeatherReport #DOSTpagasa #EgayPH
Posted by Dost_pagasa on Monday, July 24, 2023
TROPICAL CYCLONES
'Bagyong Egay' is the fifth tropical cyclone for 2023. It originated from an area of low-pressure east of southeastern Luzon that developed into a tropical depression on Friday, July 21.
SEE ALSO: LIST: Typhoon, tropical cyclone names in the Philippines 2023
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
— The Summit Express
