MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Fabian' (international name: In-fa) remains slow-moving over the sea south of Miyako Islands, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am update on Friday, July 23, 2021.
SEE ALSO: 'Bagyong Fabian' PAGASA weather update July 24, 2021
SEE ALSO: 'Bagyong Fabian' PAGASA weather update July 24, 2021
At 4:00 am today, the center of Typhoon 'Fabian' was estimated based on all available data at 510 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes.
'Bagyong Fabian' has maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 185 km/h, and central pressure of 955 hPa. Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 630 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT
TCWS No.1 (Strong winds prevailing or expected within 36 hours)
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
'Fabian' is forecast to move generally northwestward over the next 72 hours towards the southern portion of the Ryukyu Islands and the eastern portion of mainland China.
Although the typhoon will continue moving slowly in the very near term, a gradual acceleration is expected beginning this afternoon or evening.
On the forecast track, the cyclone is forecast to pass close or make landfall in the vicinity of Miyako, Yaeyama, and Senkaku Islands tonight.
This typhoon is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between tonight and tomorrow (July 24) morning.
After traversing the East China Sea, 'Fabian' is forecast to make another landfall over the eastern portion of mainland China on Sunday afternoon or evening (July 25).
'Fabian' is forecast to gradually intensify in the near term and reach its peak intensity (155-165 km/h) today. A weakening trend in its intensity may begin tomorrow and may accelerate by Sunday as the typhoon makes landfall over mainland China. It is forecast to degenerate into a tropical depression by Tuesday afternoon (July 27).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
'Fabian' is unlikely to directly bring heavy rainfall in the country throughout the forecast period.
Under the influence of the Southwest Monsoon being enhanced by 'Fabian', scattered to widespread monsoon rains will be experienced in the next 24 hours over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Metro Manila, most of CALABARZON and Central Luzon, and portions of MIMAROPA.
Severe Winds
Strong winds (strong breeze to near gale conditions) will be experienced over Batanes and Babuyan Islands throughout the passage the typhoon.
Occasionally gusty conditions associated with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will be experienced over Visayas and the rest of Luzon, especially in the coastal and upland localities of these areas.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, under the influence of the enhanced Southwest Monsoon and the typhoon.
Rough to very rough seas will be experienced over the seaboards of Luzon (including the areas under TCWS No. 1) and Western Visayas. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts over these waters.
Mariners without the proper experience should immediately seek safe harbor.
Moderate to rough seas will prevail over the remaining seaboards of the country. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
TROPICAL CYCLONES
'Fabian', the sixth tropical cyclone for 2021, developed into Tropical Depression while inside PAR on Friday, July 16.
PAGASA predicts that 1–3 tropical cyclones may enter the PAR this month.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
The weather agency declared the onset of the rainy season on Friday, June 5.
— The Summit Express
'Bagyong Fabian' has maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 185 km/h, and central pressure of 955 hPa. Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 630 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT
TCWS No.1 (Strong winds prevailing or expected within 36 hours)
- Batanes
- Babuyan Islands
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
'Fabian' is forecast to move generally northwestward over the next 72 hours towards the southern portion of the Ryukyu Islands and the eastern portion of mainland China.
Although the typhoon will continue moving slowly in the very near term, a gradual acceleration is expected beginning this afternoon or evening.
On the forecast track, the cyclone is forecast to pass close or make landfall in the vicinity of Miyako, Yaeyama, and Senkaku Islands tonight.
This typhoon is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between tonight and tomorrow (July 24) morning.
After traversing the East China Sea, 'Fabian' is forecast to make another landfall over the eastern portion of mainland China on Sunday afternoon or evening (July 25).
'Fabian' is forecast to gradually intensify in the near term and reach its peak intensity (155-165 km/h) today. A weakening trend in its intensity may begin tomorrow and may accelerate by Sunday as the typhoon makes landfall over mainland China. It is forecast to degenerate into a tropical depression by Tuesday afternoon (July 27).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
'Fabian' is unlikely to directly bring heavy rainfall in the country throughout the forecast period.
Under the influence of the Southwest Monsoon being enhanced by 'Fabian', scattered to widespread monsoon rains will be experienced in the next 24 hours over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Metro Manila, most of CALABARZON and Central Luzon, and portions of MIMAROPA.
Severe Winds
Strong winds (strong breeze to near gale conditions) will be experienced over Batanes and Babuyan Islands throughout the passage the typhoon.
Occasionally gusty conditions associated with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will be experienced over Visayas and the rest of Luzon, especially in the coastal and upland localities of these areas.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, under the influence of the enhanced Southwest Monsoon and the typhoon.
Rough to very rough seas will be experienced over the seaboards of Luzon (including the areas under TCWS No. 1) and Western Visayas. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts over these waters.
Mariners without the proper experience should immediately seek safe harbor.
Moderate to rough seas will prevail over the remaining seaboards of the country. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
TROPICAL CYCLONES
'Fabian', the sixth tropical cyclone for 2021, developed into Tropical Depression while inside PAR on Friday, July 16.
PAGASA predicts that 1–3 tropical cyclones may enter the PAR this month.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
The weather agency declared the onset of the rainy season on Friday, June 5.
— The Summit Express
