MANILA, Philippines –'Bagyong Vicky' continues to move west-northwestward towards the Kalayaan Islands, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am bulletin on Sunday, December 20, 2020.
This tropical depression is likely to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon or evening. After exiting the PAR, 'Vicky' will turn towards the southwest as it comes under the full influence of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
'Bagyong Vicky' is forecast to intensity into a tropical storm in the next 24 hours. However, it is less likely to reach severe tropical storm category throughout the forecast period due to marginally favorable conditions.
At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' was estimated based on all available data at 195 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan or 340 km East of Kalayaan, Palawan.
'Vicky' has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing): Kalayaan Islands
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Strong breeze to near gale conditions will be experienced over the Kalayaan Islands due to the passage of the tropical depression. Moreover, gusty conditions are also likely over most of Luzon, especially in coastal and mountainous areas, due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
Heavy rainfall: The combined effects of the Tail-End of a Frontal System (Shear Line) and Tropical Depression 'Vicky' will bring:
Today: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Aurora, Quezon, Bicol Region, and Kalayaan Islands.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Babuyan Islands, Metro Manila, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
Tomorrow: Moderate to heavy rains over Babuyan Islands, mainland Cagayan Valley, Aurora, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, and Ifugao.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Batanes, Kalayaan Islands, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region.
Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged periods of rainfall, especially in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and in localities that received significant antecedent rainfall over the past couple of days or weeks.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the tropical depression will bring:
rough to high seas (3.0 to 6.0 m) over the entire seaboards of Northern Luzon
rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) over the following:
Sea travel remains risky over these waters, especially for small seacrafts.
Moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 3.5 m) will also be experienced over the following:
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
Tropical depression 'Vicky' is the country's 22nd tropical cyclone for 2020 and the first for the month of December.
— The Summit Express
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| Satellite image of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' as of 5:00 am, December 20, 2020. PAGASA |
This tropical depression is likely to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon or evening. After exiting the PAR, 'Vicky' will turn towards the southwest as it comes under the full influence of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
'Bagyong Vicky' is forecast to intensity into a tropical storm in the next 24 hours. However, it is less likely to reach severe tropical storm category throughout the forecast period due to marginally favorable conditions.
At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' was estimated based on all available data at 195 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan or 340 km East of Kalayaan, Palawan.
'Vicky' has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 175 km Southwest of Kalayaan, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
- 48 Hour (Tuesday morning):495 km Southwest of Kalayaan, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing): Kalayaan Islands
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Strong breeze to near gale conditions will be experienced over the Kalayaan Islands due to the passage of the tropical depression. Moreover, gusty conditions are also likely over most of Luzon, especially in coastal and mountainous areas, due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
Heavy rainfall: The combined effects of the Tail-End of a Frontal System (Shear Line) and Tropical Depression 'Vicky' will bring:
Today: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Aurora, Quezon, Bicol Region, and Kalayaan Islands.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Babuyan Islands, Metro Manila, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
Tomorrow: Moderate to heavy rains over Babuyan Islands, mainland Cagayan Valley, Aurora, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, and Ifugao.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Batanes, Kalayaan Islands, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region.
Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged periods of rainfall, especially in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and in localities that received significant antecedent rainfall over the past couple of days or weeks.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the tropical depression will bring:
rough to high seas (3.0 to 6.0 m) over the entire seaboards of Northern Luzon
rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) over the following:
- seaboard of Zambales
- the western seaboard of Bataan
- the seaboard of Lubang Island
- the western seaboard of Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands
- the seaboard of Aurora
- the eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Islands
- the seaboard of Camarines Norte
- the northern seaboard of Camarines Norte
- the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes
- the eastern seaboard of Albay including Rapu-Rapu Islands
- the eastern seaboard of Sorsogon
- and the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar
Sea travel remains risky over these waters, especially for small seacrafts.
Moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 3.5 m) will also be experienced over the following:
- western seaboard of Batangas
- the western seaboard of Occidental Mindoro
- eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar including Homonhon Island
- the eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands
- the eastern seaboard of Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands
- the eastern seaboard of Surigao del Sur
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
Tropical depression 'Vicky' is the country's 22nd tropical cyclone for 2020 and the first for the month of December.
— The Summit Express
