MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Vicky' is now over the Sulu Sea and forecast to cross the northern or central portion of Palawan between this afternoon or evening, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am bulletin on Saturday, December 19, 2020.
'Vicky' is expected to remain a tropical depression while crossing the Philippine archipelago. The likelihood of intensification is forecast to increase once the tropical depression reaches the West Philippine Sea.
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| Satellite image of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' as of 5:00 am, December 19, 2020. PAGASA |
'Vicky' is expected to remain a tropical depression while crossing the Philippine archipelago. The likelihood of intensification is forecast to increase once the tropical depression reaches the West Philippine Sea.
It is likely to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow afternoon or evening, December 20.
At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' was estimated based on all available data at 150 km West of Dipolog City, Zamboanga del Norte.
'Bagyong Vicky' has maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. It is moving Westward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Luzon
Visayas
Mindanao
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS #1) will have strong breeze to near gale conditions during the passage of the tropical cyclone. However, it must be noted that gusty conditions are likely over most of Luzon and Visayas that are not under TCWS (especially in coastal and mountainous areas) due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
Heavy rainfall: The combined effects of Tropical Depression VICKY and Tail-End of a Frontal System (Shear Line) will bring:
Today: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over CALABARZON, Bicol Region, Visayas, Aurora, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, and the northern and central portions of Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo, and Cagayancillo Islands.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Metro Manila, and the rest of Central Luzon, MIMAROPA and Cordillera Administrative Region
Tomorrow: Heavy to intense rains over Bicol Region, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela, Quirino, and Nueva Vizcaya.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Oriental Mindoro, Kalayaan Islands, and the rest of mainland Cagayan Valley.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Eastern Visayas, Dinagat Islands, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged periods of rainfall, especially in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and in localities that received significant antecedent rainfall over the past couple of days or weeks.
Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such rainfall occurrence due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the tropical depression will bring rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) over the following:
Sea travel is risky over these waters especially for small sea vessels.
Moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 4.0 m) will be experienced over the coastal waters of areas under TCWS #1, the seaboards of Agusan del Norte, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, and Lanao del Norte, and the remaining seaboards of Luzon, Visayas, Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands.
Sea travel is risky over these waters especially for small sea vessels.
— The Summit Express
At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' was estimated based on all available data at 150 km West of Dipolog City, Zamboanga del Norte.
'Bagyong Vicky' has maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. It is moving Westward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 125 km Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan
- 48 Hour (Monday morning):120 km South Southwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
- 72 Hour (Tuesday morning): 455 km Southwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Luzon
- the northern and central portions of Palawan (Araceli, Dumaran, Taytay, El Nido, San Vicente, Roxas, Puerto Princesa City, Aborlan, Narra, Quezon) including Calamian, Cuyo, Cagayancillo, and Kalayaan Islands
Visayas
- the southern portion of Cebu (Pinamungahan, San Fernando, Carcar, Aloguinsan, Barili, Sibonga, Dumanjug, Ronda, Alcantara, Argao, Moalboal, Badian, Dalaguete, Alegria, Alcoy, Malabuyoc, Boljoon, Ginatilan, Oslob, Samboan, Santander)
- the extreme western portion of Bohol (Loon, Tagbilaran City, Dauis, Panglao, Cortes, Maribojoc)
- Siquijor
- Negros Oriental
- the central and southern portions of Negros Occidental (San Carlos City, Salvador Benedicto, Talisay City, Bacolod City, Murcia, Bago City, Pulupandan, Valladolid, San Enrique, La Carlota City, La Castellana, Moises Padilla, Pontevedra, Hinigaran, Isabela, Binalbagan, Himamaylan City, Ilog, Kabankalan City, Cauayan, Candoni, Sipalay City, Hinoba-An)
- Guimaras
- the southern portion of Iloilo (Barotac Nuevo, Dingle, Anilao, Duenas, Lambunao, Dumangas, Pototan, Zarraga, Mina, Badiangan, Janiuay, Maasin, Cabatuan, New Lucena, Santa Barbara, Leganes, Iloilo City, Pavia, Alimodian, San Miguel, Oton, Leon, Tubungan, Igbaras, Guimbal, Tigbauan, Miagao, San Joaquin)
- the southern portion of Antique (Bugasong, Laua-An, Valderrama, San Remigio, Patnongon, Belison, Sibalom, San Jose, Hamtic, Tobias Fornier, Anini-Y)
Mindanao
- Misamis Occidental
- the northern and central portions of Zamboanga del Norte (Siocon, Baliguian, Gutalac, Kalawit, Labason, Tampilisan, Liloy, Godod, Bacungan, Salug, Sindangan, Siayan, Manukan, Jose Dalman, Sergio Osmena Sr., Pres. Manuel A. Roxas, Katipunan, Dipolog City, Pinan, Mutia, La Libertad, Polanco, Rizal, Sibutad, Dapitan City)
- Zamboanga del Sur
- Zamboanga Sibugay
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS #1) will have strong breeze to near gale conditions during the passage of the tropical cyclone. However, it must be noted that gusty conditions are likely over most of Luzon and Visayas that are not under TCWS (especially in coastal and mountainous areas) due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
Heavy rainfall: The combined effects of Tropical Depression VICKY and Tail-End of a Frontal System (Shear Line) will bring:
Today: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over CALABARZON, Bicol Region, Visayas, Aurora, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, and the northern and central portions of Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo, and Cagayancillo Islands.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Metro Manila, and the rest of Central Luzon, MIMAROPA and Cordillera Administrative Region
Tomorrow: Heavy to intense rains over Bicol Region, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela, Quirino, and Nueva Vizcaya.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Oriental Mindoro, Kalayaan Islands, and the rest of mainland Cagayan Valley.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Eastern Visayas, Dinagat Islands, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged periods of rainfall, especially in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and in localities that received significant antecedent rainfall over the past couple of days or weeks.
Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such rainfall occurrence due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the tropical depression will bring rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) over the following:
- entire seaboards of Northern Luzon
- the seaboard of Aurora
- the eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Islands
- the seaboard of Camarines Norte
- the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur
- the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes
- the eastern seaboard of Albay including Rapu-Rapu Islands
- the eastern seaboard of Sorsogon
- the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar
- the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar including Homonhon Island
- the eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands
- the eastern seaboard of Surigao del Norte
- the seaboard of Surigao del Sur
- the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental
Sea travel is risky over these waters especially for small sea vessels.
Moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 4.0 m) will be experienced over the coastal waters of areas under TCWS #1, the seaboards of Agusan del Norte, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, and Lanao del Norte, and the remaining seaboards of Luzon, Visayas, Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands.
Sea travel is risky over these waters especially for small sea vessels.
— The Summit Express
