MANILA, Philippines – The Low Pressure Area (LPA) east of Mindanao has developed into Tropical Depression 'Vicky', state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am bulletin on Friday, December 18, 2020.
'Vicky' developed into a tropical depression at 2:00 am today, making it the 22nd tropical cyclone of the year and the 1st for the month of December.
At 4:00 am today, the center of TD 'Vicky' was estimated based on all available data at 210 km East of Davao City.
UPDATE: 'Bagyong Vicky' PAGASA weather forecast December 19, 2020
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| Satellite image of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' as of 5:00 am, December 18, 2020. PAGASA |
'Vicky' developed into a tropical depression at 2:00 am today, making it the 22nd tropical cyclone of the year and the 1st for the month of December.
At 4:00 am today, the center of TD 'Vicky' was estimated based on all available data at 210 km East of Davao City.
UPDATE: 'Bagyong Vicky' PAGASA weather forecast December 19, 2020
'Bagyong Vicky' has maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 15 km/h.
This tropical depression is forecast to move generally west-northwestward and make landfall in the vicinity of Davao Oriental-Surigao del Sur area in the next 12 hours.
After crossing Mindanao, 'Bagyong Vicky' is likely to emerge over the Bohol Sea tomorrow early morning (December 19), pass close or over Siquijor, and make another landfall over the southern portion of Negros Island. By tomorrow morning or afternoon, 'Vicky' is likely to emerge of the Sulu Sea.
It is is forecast to remain a tropical depression while crossing the Philippine archipelago.
Forecast Positions
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in less than 36 hours)
Luzon
Visayas
Mindanao
Impacts of the wind
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Areas under TCWS #1 will have strong breeze to near gale conditions during the passage of the tropical cyclone.
Heavy rainfall: The combined effects of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' and Tail-End of a Frontal System (Shear Line) will bring:
Today: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Caraga, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, Davao del Norte, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Southern Leyte, Leyte, and Bohol. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Bicol Region, the southern portion of Quezon, Lanao del Sur, Zamboanga del Norte, and the rest of Visayas, Davao Region, and Northern Mindanao.
Tomorrow: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas, Central Visayas, Quezon, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands, and the rest of CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Visayas.
Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged periods of rainfall, especially in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and in localities that received significant antecedent rainfall over the past couple of days or weeks.
Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such rainfall occurrence due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the approaching tropical depression will bring rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) over the following areas:
Moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 4.0 m) will be experienced over the coastal waters of areas under TCWS #1.
Sea travel is risky over these waters especially for small sea vessels.
— The Summit Express
This tropical depression is forecast to move generally west-northwestward and make landfall in the vicinity of Davao Oriental-Surigao del Sur area in the next 12 hours.
After crossing Mindanao, 'Bagyong Vicky' is likely to emerge over the Bohol Sea tomorrow early morning (December 19), pass close or over Siquijor, and make another landfall over the southern portion of Negros Island. By tomorrow morning or afternoon, 'Vicky' is likely to emerge of the Sulu Sea.
It is is forecast to remain a tropical depression while crossing the Philippine archipelago.
Forecast Positions
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 20 km East of Dumaguete City, Negros Oriental
- 48 Hour (Sunday morning):140 km North of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan
- 72 Hour (Monday morning): 65 km West Southwest of Kalayaan, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in less than 36 hours)
Luzon
- Cuyo Islands
- Cagayancillo Islands
Visayas
- the southern portion of Leyte (Baybay City, Javier, Abuyog, Mahaplag, Inopacan, Hindang, Hilongos, Bato, Matalom, Palompon, Merida, Isabel) Southern Leyte
- the central and southern portions of Cebu (Borbon, Tabuelan, Tuburan, Sogod, Catmon, Carmen, Asturias, Danao City, Compostela, Liloan, Consolacion, Mandaue City, Lapu-Lapu City, Cordoba, Balamban, Cebu City, Talisay City, Toledo City, Minglanilla, Naga City, Pinamungahan, San Fernando, Aloguinsan, Carcar, Barili, Sibonga, Dumanjug, Ronda, Alcantara, Moalboal, Argao, Dalaguete, Badian, Alegria, Alcoy, Boljoon, Oslob, Malabuyoc, Ginatilan, Samboan, Santander)
- including Camotes Islands
- Bohol
- Siquijor
- Negros Oriental
- Negros Occidental
- Guimaras
- the central and southern portions of Iloilo (Ajuy, Barotac Viejo, San Enrique, San Rafael, Passi City, Bingawan, Calinog, Lambunao, Janiuay, Banate, Anilao, Dingle, Duenas, Badiangan, Barotac Nuevo, Zarraga, Pototan, Dumangas, Mina, New Lucena, Santa Barbara, Leganes, Iloilo City, Pavia, Cabatuan, Maasin, Alimodian, San Miguel, Leon, Oton, Tigbauan, Tubungan, Guimbal, Igbaras, Miagao, San Joaquin) and the southern portion of Antique (Valderrama, San Remigio, Sibalom, Hamtic, Tobias Fornier, Anini-Y, Bugasong, Laua-An, Patnongon, San Jose, Belison)
Mindanao
- Dinagat Islands
- Surigao del Norte
- Surigao del Sur
- Agusan del Norte
- Agusan del Sur
- Davao Oriental
- Davao de Oro
- Davao del Norte
- Davao City
- the northern portion of Davao del Sur (Santa Cruz, Digos City, Bansalan, Magsaysay, Matanao, Hagonoy)
- Camiguin
- Bukidnon
- Misamis Oriental
- Misamis Occidental
- Lanao del Norte
- Lanao del Sur
- the northern portion of Maguindanao (Kabuntalan, Northern Kabuntalan, Sultan Kudarat, Sultan Mastura, Parang, Barira, Matanog, Buldon), Cotabato City
- North Cotabato
- the northern portion of Zamboanga del Sur (Pagadian City, Midsalip, Labangan, Tukuran, Aurora, Tambulig, Josefina, Molave, Ramon Magsaysay, Sominot, Mahayag, Dumingag)
- and the northern portion of Zamboanga del Norte (Siayan, Sindangan, Bacungan, Jose Dalman, Manukan, Pres. Manuel A. Roxas, Sergio Osmena Sr., Katipunan, Dipolog City, Polanco, Pinan, Mutia, La Libertad, Dapitan City, Sibutad, Rizal)
Impacts of the wind
- very light or no damage to low risk structures
- light damage to medium to high risk structures
- slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
- twigs of small trees may be broken
- rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Areas under TCWS #1 will have strong breeze to near gale conditions during the passage of the tropical cyclone.
Heavy rainfall: The combined effects of Tropical Depression 'Vicky' and Tail-End of a Frontal System (Shear Line) will bring:
Today: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Caraga, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, Davao del Norte, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Southern Leyte, Leyte, and Bohol. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Bicol Region, the southern portion of Quezon, Lanao del Sur, Zamboanga del Norte, and the rest of Visayas, Davao Region, and Northern Mindanao.
Tomorrow: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas, Central Visayas, Quezon, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands, and the rest of CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Visayas.
Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged periods of rainfall, especially in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and in localities that received significant antecedent rainfall over the past couple of days or weeks.
Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such rainfall occurrence due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the approaching tropical depression will bring rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) over the following areas:
- entire seaboards of Northern Luzon
- the seaboard of Aurora
- the eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Islands
- the seaboard of Camarines Norte
- the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur
- the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes
- the eastern seaboard of Albay including Rapu-Rapu Islands
- the eastern seaboard of Sorsogon
- the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar
- and the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar including Homonhon Island
Moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 4.0 m) will be experienced over the coastal waters of areas under TCWS #1.
Sea travel is risky over these waters especially for small sea vessels.
— The Summit Express
