MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Ulysses' (Vamco) intensifies into typhoon while moving closer towards Quezon-Aurora area, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 11:00 am bulletin on Wednesday, November 11, 2020.
'Bagyong Ulysses' intensified into typhoon at 8:00 am today and may reach its peak intensity of 130-155 km/h prior to landfall.
SEE ALSO: #WalangPasok: Class suspensions, Wednesday, November 11, 2020
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| Satellite image of Tropical Storm Ulysses as of 10:40 am, November 11, 2020. PAGASA |
Destructive winds and intense with at times torrential rainfall associated with the region of the eyewall and inner rainbands of the typhoon will be experienced over the northern portions of Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, and Camarines Norte until tonight and over Aurora and northern portion of Quezon tonight through tomorrow early morning, PAGASA said.
'Bagyong Ulysses' intensified into typhoon at 8:00 am today and may reach its peak intensity of 130-155 km/h prior to landfall.
SEE ALSO: #WalangPasok: Class suspensions, Wednesday, November 11, 2020
'Ulysses' may slightly weaken as it crosses mainland Luzon due to frictional effects in the presence of the Sierra Madre and Zambales Mountain Ranges. However, it is likely to remain a typhoon throughout its traverse.
Due to the orientation of the track forecast, these provinces may fall within the inner rainbands or eyewall region of this typhoon during the passage.
At 10:00 am today, the center of 'Ulysses' was estimated based on all available data including Daet Doppler Radar at 100 km North of Virac, Catanduanes.
UPDATE: Typhoon 'Ulysses' endangers Quezon province
On the forecast track, 'Ulysses' will move generally westward throughout the forecast period and pass over the seas north of Catanduanes between this morning and afternoon and north of Camarines Provinces between this afternoon and evening.
Due to the orientation of the track forecast, these provinces may fall within the inner rainbands or eyewall region of this typhoon during the passage.
The center of the typhoon is forecast to make landfall over Polillo Islands and mainland Quezon between tonight and tomorrow early morning. Afterwards, it will cross Central Luzon and emerge over the western seaboard of Zambales between tomorrow morning and afternoon.
At 10:00 am today, the center of 'Ulysses' was estimated based on all available data including Daet Doppler Radar at 100 km North of Virac, Catanduanes.
UPDATE: Typhoon 'Ulysses' endangers Quezon province
The typhoon has maximum sustained winds of 125 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 155 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 20 km/h.
Forecast Positions
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS NO. 3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
TCWS No. 2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
TCWS No. 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Throughout the passage of the typhoon, destructive typhoon-force winds will be experiencing in areas under TCWS #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1.
In other areas, the rest of Northern Luzon will be experiencing strong breeze to gale-force winds due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
Heavy rainfall
Until tonight, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Albay, Sorsogon, Quezon including Polillo Islands, and Burias and Ticao Islands. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon and Visayas.
Between tonight and tomorrow early morning, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Aurora, Bulacan, Pampanga, and Bataan.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, mainland Cagayan Valley, Catanduanes, Marinduque, the northern portion of Mindoro Provinces, and the rest of Central Luzon. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over the rest of Luzon and Visayas.
Flooding (including flashfloods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and/or those that received significant antecedent rainfall.
Storm surge: There is a high risk of storm surge with heights of
These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and/or breaking waves near the coast, can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation. Moreover, there is also a moderate risk of seiche or storm surge over the coastal areas surrounding Laguna de Bay.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Within the next 24 hours, rough to very high seas (2.5 to 10.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of areas under TCWS and the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar currently not under TCWS #1.
The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will also bring rough to high seas (3.0 to 6.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and rough seas (2.5 to 3.5 m) over the seaboards of Kalayaan Islands. Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters.
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over the western seaboards of Palawan including Calamian Islands, and the eastern seaboards of Mindanao.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
'Bagyong Ulysses' is the Philippines' 21st tropical cyclone for 2020 and third for November.
The weather bureau advised of more cyclones that could enter PAR until December.
PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.
— The Summit Express
Forecast Positions
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): over the coastal waters of Botolan, Zambales
- 48 Hour (Friday morning): 470 km West of Iba, Zambales
- 72 Hour (Saturday morning): 910 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS NO. 3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
- the southern portion of Aurora (Dipaculao, Baler, Maria Aurora, San Luis, Dingalan)
- the southern portion of Nueva Ecija (Bongabon, Gabaldon, General Tinio, Laur, Palayan City, Cabanatuan City, Santa Rosa, Peñaranda, Gapan City, San Leonardo, Jaen, San Antonio, San Isidro, Cabiao)
- the eastern portion of Pampanga (Candaba, Arayat, Santa Ana, Mexico, San Luis, San Simon, San Fernando City, Santo Tomas, Apalit, Minalin, Bacolor, Santa Rita, Guagua, Macabebe, Masantol, Sasmuan, Lubao)
- Bulacan
- Metro Manila
- Cavite
- Laguna
- Rizal
- the northern and central portions of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta, Real, Mauban, Sampaloc, Lucban, Tayabas City, Sariaya, Candelaria, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio, Lucena City, Pagbilao, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Unisan, Agdangan, Gumaca, Plaridel, Pitogo, Macalelon, Lopez, General Luna, Catanauan, Buenavista, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Calauag, Quezon, Alabat, Perez) including Polillo Islands
- Catanduanes
- Camarines Norte
- the northern portion of Camarines Sur (Del Gallego, Ragay, Lupi, Sipocot, Cabusao, Bombon, Calabanga, Tinambac, Siruma, Goa, Lagonoy, San Jose, Garchitorena, Presentacion, Caramoan)
TCWS No. 2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
- the central and southern portions of Quirino (Maddela, Cabarroguis, Aglipay, Nagtipunan)
- the central and southern portions of Nueva Vizcaya (Kasibu, Bambang, Kayapa, Dupax Del Norte, Dupax Del Sur, Aritao, Santa Fe, Alfonso Castaneda) the southern portion of Benguet (Bokod, Itogon, Tublay, La Trinidad, Sablan, Baguio City, Tuba)
- the southern portion of La Union (Burgos, Naguilian, Bauang, Caba, Aringay, Tubao, Pugo, Santo Tomas, Rosario, Agoo)
- Pangasinan
- Zambales
- Bataan
- Tarlac
- the rest of Pampanga
- the rest of Nueva Ecija
- the rest of Aurora
- Batangas
- the rest of Quezon
- Marinduque
- the northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island
- the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Pola, Victoria, Naujan, Baco, Calapan City, San Teodoro, Puerto Galera)
- the rest of Camarines Sur
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- Burias and Ticao Islands
TCWS No. 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
- Isabela
- the rest of Quirino
- the rest of Nueva Vizcaya
- Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- the rest of Benguet
- Abra
- Ilocos Sur
- the rest of La Union
- the rest of Occidental Mindoro
- the rest of Oriental Mindoro
- Romblon
- the rest of Masbate Northern Samar
- the northern portion of Samar (Santo Nino, Almagro, Tagapul-An, Tarangnan, Calbayog City, Santa Margarita, Gandara, Pagsanghan, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao)
- the northern portion of Eastern Samar (Maslog, Dolores, Oras, San Policarpo, Arteche, Jipapad)
Hazards affecting land areas
Strong winds: Throughout the passage of the typhoon, destructive typhoon-force winds will be experiencing in areas under TCWS #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1.
In other areas, the rest of Northern Luzon will be experiencing strong breeze to gale-force winds due to the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
Heavy rainfall
Until tonight, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Albay, Sorsogon, Quezon including Polillo Islands, and Burias and Ticao Islands. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon and Visayas.
Between tonight and tomorrow early morning, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Aurora, Bulacan, Pampanga, and Bataan.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, mainland Cagayan Valley, Catanduanes, Marinduque, the northern portion of Mindoro Provinces, and the rest of Central Luzon. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over the rest of Luzon and Visayas.
Flooding (including flashfloods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and/or those that received significant antecedent rainfall.
Storm surge: There is a high risk of storm surge with heights of
- up to 3.0 m over the coastal areas of Quezon including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Catanduanes, and the northern and eastern coastal areas of Camarines Sur
- up to 2.0 m over the coastal areas of La Union, Pangasinan, Isabela, Zambales, Aurora, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, northern portions of Mindoro Provinces including Lubang Island, Marinduque, Romblon, Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, Albay, and Sorsogon, and the remaining coastal areas of Camarines Sur.
These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and/or breaking waves near the coast, can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation. Moreover, there is also a moderate risk of seiche or storm surge over the coastal areas surrounding Laguna de Bay.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Within the next 24 hours, rough to very high seas (2.5 to 10.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of areas under TCWS and the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar currently not under TCWS #1.
The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will also bring rough to high seas (3.0 to 6.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and rough seas (2.5 to 3.5 m) over the seaboards of Kalayaan Islands. Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters.
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over the western seaboards of Palawan including Calamian Islands, and the eastern seaboards of Mindanao.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
'Bagyong Ulysses' is the Philippines' 21st tropical cyclone for 2020 and third for November.
The weather bureau advised of more cyclones that could enter PAR until December.
PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.
— The Summit Express
