MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Rolly', 2020's strongest storm on Earth, is now heading towards the southeastern coast of Batangas, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 pm bulletin on Sunday, November 1, 2020.
Destructive winds and intense rainfall associated with the region of the eyewall and inner rainbands of the typhoon is prevailing or expected within 12 hours over the Batangas and Cavite. This a particularly dangerous situation for these areas.
Between 5:00 pm to 7:00 pm, the center of the eye of 'Rolly' is located around 70 km south of Metro Manila.
UPDATES
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| Satellite image of Typhoon Rolly (Goni) as of 5:00 pm, November 1, 2020. PAGASA |
Destructive winds and intense rainfall associated with the region of the eyewall and inner rainbands of the typhoon is prevailing or expected within 12 hours over the Batangas and Cavite. This a particularly dangerous situation for these areas.
The center of Typhoon 'Rolly' will move towards Batangas-Cavite area this late afternoon through evening.
Between 5:00 pm to 7:00 pm, the center of the eye of 'Rolly' is located around 70 km south of Metro Manila.
UPDATES
'Rolly' is forecast to exit the mainland Luzon landmass and emerge over the West Philippine Sea tonight. During its traverse of Southern Luzon, it is forecast to weaken but will emerge as a typhoon over the West Philippine Sea.
At 4:00 pm today, the eye of Typhoon 'Rolly' was located based on all available data at 50 km South Southwest of Tayabas, Quezon.
'Rolly' has maximum sustained winds of 165 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 230 km/h. It is moving Westward at 25 km/h.
SEE ALSO: 'Bagyong Siony' PAGASA weather update November 1, 2020
At 4:00 pm today, the eye of Typhoon 'Rolly' was located based on all available data at 50 km South Southwest of Tayabas, Quezon.
'Rolly' has maximum sustained winds of 165 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 230 km/h. It is moving Westward at 25 km/h.
SEE ALSO: 'Bagyong Siony' PAGASA weather update November 1, 2020
'Rolly' made its third landfall in the vicinity of San Narciso, Quezon at 12:00 pm today.
Forecast Positions
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL (TCWS)
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Hazards affecting land areas
Rainfall: Today, the passage of Typhoon 'Rolly' will bring heavy to at times intense rains over CALABARZON, Metro Manila, Marinduque, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces, Bataan, Bulacan, Aurora, and the eastern portions of mainland Cagayan and Isabela.
Moderate to heavy rains will be experienced over Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of mainland Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will be experienced over Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Western Visayas and the rest of Luzon.
Flooding (including flash floods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards.
Strong winds: Destructive typhoon-force winds will be experienced in areas under TCWS #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1.
Potential impacts of the wind conditions to structures and vegetation under each wind signal are detailed in the TCWS section of this bulletin.
Elsewhere, strong breeze to near gale conditions due to the northeasterlies will be experienced over the rest of Northern Luzon that are not under TCWS #1.
Storm surge in the next 24 hours, there is a high risk of storm surge of:
Moreover, there is also a moderate to high risk of seiche or storm surge over the coastal areas surrounding Laguna de Bay and Taal Lake. These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and breaking waves reaching the coast can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Today, rough to phenomenal seas (2.5 to 16.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboard of areas where TCWS is in effect and rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas (that are not under TCWS) and Caraga.
Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters, especially those under TCWS.
Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over remaining seaboards of the country.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
'Bagyong Rolly' is the Philippines' 18th tropical cyclone for 2020, and the 5th for October.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.
— The Summit Express
Forecast Positions
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 300 km West of Iba, Zambales
- 48 Hour (Tuesday afternoon):665 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)
- 72 Hour (Wednesday afternoon): 935 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL (TCWS)
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
- the southern portion of Zambales (San Marcelino, San Narciso, Subic, Olongapo City, Castillejos, San Antonio)
- Bataan
- the southern portion of Pampanga (Floridablanca, Guagua, Minalin, Apalit, Macabebe, Masantol, Sasmuan, Lubao)
- the southern portion of Bulacan (Baliuag, Bustos, Angat, Norzagaray, San Jose del Monte City, Santa Maria, Pandi, Plaridel, Pulilan, Calumpit, Malolos City, Guiguinto, Balagtas, Bocaue, Marilao, Meycauayan City, Obando, Bulacan, Paombong, Hagonoy)
- Rizal
- Quezon including Polillo Islands
- Metro Manila
- Cavite
- Laguna
- Batangas
- Marinduque
- the northwestern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Santa Cruz, Mamburao, Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island
- the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, Calapan City, Naujan, Victoria, Naujan Lake, Pola, Socorro)
TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
- the rest of Zambales
- the rest of Pampanga
- the rest of Bulacan
- the southern portion of Tarlac (Concepcion, Capas, Bamban)
- the rest of Occidental Mindoro
- the rest of Oriental Mindoro
- the southern portion of Nueva Ecija (General Tinio, Gapan City, Peñaranda, San Leonardo, Jaen, San Isidro, Cabiao, San Antonio)
TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
- mainland Cagayan
- Isabela
- Apayao
- Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- Abra
- Ilocos Norte
- Ilocos Sur
- La Union
- Benguet
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Quirino
- the rest of Aurora
- the rest of Nueva Ecija
- the rest of Tarlac
- Camarines Sur
- Camarines Norte
- Burias Island
- Romblon
- Calamian Islands
Hazards affecting land areas
Rainfall: Today, the passage of Typhoon 'Rolly' will bring heavy to at times intense rains over CALABARZON, Metro Manila, Marinduque, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces, Bataan, Bulacan, Aurora, and the eastern portions of mainland Cagayan and Isabela.
Moderate to heavy rains will be experienced over Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of mainland Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will be experienced over Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Western Visayas and the rest of Luzon.
Flooding (including flash floods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards.
Strong winds: Destructive typhoon-force winds will be experienced in areas under TCWS #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1.
Potential impacts of the wind conditions to structures and vegetation under each wind signal are detailed in the TCWS section of this bulletin.
Elsewhere, strong breeze to near gale conditions due to the northeasterlies will be experienced over the rest of Northern Luzon that are not under TCWS #1.
Storm surge in the next 24 hours, there is a high risk of storm surge of:
- up to 3.0 m over the northern coastal areas of Quezon including Polillo Islands, coastal areas of Metro Manila, Cavite, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, the southeastern coastal area of Batangas (facing Tayabas Bay), and most of the southern coastal areas of Quezon;
- up to 2.0 m over the coastal areas of Marinduque, Lubang Island, Albay, Masbate (including Ticao and Burias Islands), the northern coastal area of Mindoro Provinces, and the remaining coastal areas of Quezon, and Batangas.
Moreover, there is also a moderate to high risk of seiche or storm surge over the coastal areas surrounding Laguna de Bay and Taal Lake. These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and breaking waves reaching the coast can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Today, rough to phenomenal seas (2.5 to 16.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboard of areas where TCWS is in effect and rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas (that are not under TCWS) and Caraga.
Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters, especially those under TCWS.
Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over remaining seaboards of the country.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
'Bagyong Rolly' is the Philippines' 18th tropical cyclone for 2020, and the 5th for October.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.
— The Summit Express
