MANILA, Philippines – Typhoon 'Rolly' (Goni) continues to weaken and now over the West Philippine Sea, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 8:00 pm bulletin on Sunday, November 1, 2020.
The center of Typhoon 'Rolly' made fourth landfall in the vicinity of Lobo, Batangas at 5:30 pm today.
'Bagyong Rolly' will move generally west-northwestward or westward tonight while moving over the West Philippine Sea. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Tuesday morning. 'Rolly' is forecast to weaken into severe tropical storm category in the next 24 hours.
AFTERMATH: Typhoon Rolly leaves massive destruction
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| Satellite image of Typhoon 'Rolly' (Goni) as of 8:10 pm, November 1, 2020. PAGASA |
The center of Typhoon 'Rolly' made fourth landfall in the vicinity of Lobo, Batangas at 5:30 pm today.
'Bagyong Rolly' will move generally west-northwestward or westward tonight while moving over the West Philippine Sea. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Tuesday morning. 'Rolly' is forecast to weaken into severe tropical storm category in the next 24 hours.
AFTERMATH: Typhoon Rolly leaves massive destruction
At 7:00 pm today, the center of the eye of Typhoon 'Rolly' was located based on all available data at 120 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro.
'Rolly' has maximum sustained winds of 125 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 170 km/h. It is moving Westward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Hazards affecting land areas
Rainfall: Today, Typhoon 'Rolly' will bring moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Aurora and the eastern portions of mainland Cagayan and Isabela.
Light to moderate with ati times heavy rains will be experienced over Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Region, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, and the rest of mainland Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon.
Flooding (including flash floods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards.
Strong winds: Destructive typhoon-force winds will be experienced in areas under TCWS #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1.
Elsewhere, strong breeze to near gale conditions due to the northeasterlies will be experienced over Northern Luzon.
Storm surge: There is a moderate to high risk of storm surge of up to 2.0 m over the coastal areas of Cavite, Bataan, Lubang Island, the southwestern coastal area of Batangas, and the northern coastal area of Occidental Mindoro.
These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and breaking waves reaching the coast can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Today, rough to high seas (2.5 to 9.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboard of areas where TCWS is in effect and rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas (that are not under TCWS) and Caraga.
Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters, especially those under TCWS.
Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over remaining seaboards of the country.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these condition.
TCWS elsewhere has been lowered or lifted.
'Bagyong Rolly' is the Philippines' 18th tropical cyclone for 2020, and the 5th for October.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.
— The Summit Express
'Rolly' has maximum sustained winds of 125 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 170 km/h. It is moving Westward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 405 km West of Iba, Zambales
- 48 Hour (Tuesday afternoon):805 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
- 72 Hour (Wednesday afternoon): 905 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
- the southwestern portion of Batangas (Tingloy, Mabini, Bauan, San Luis, Taal, Santa Teresita, Alitagtag, Taal lake, San Nicolas, Talisay, Laurel, Agoncillo, Lemery, Calaca, Balayan, Tuy, Nasugbu, Lian, Calatagan)
- the northwestern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Abra de Ilog, Mamburao, Paluan) including Lubang Island
- Cavite
- the rest of Batangas
- the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, Calapan City, Naujan, Victoria, Pola)
- the central portion of Occidental Mindoro (Santa Cruz, Sablayan)
TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
- the southern portion of Zambales (San Marcelino, San Felipe, San Narciso, San Antonio, Castillejos, Subic, Olongapo City)
- Bataan
- Bulacan
- Pampanga
- Rizal
- Laguna
- Metro Manila
- the rest of Occidental Mindoro
- the rest of Oriental Mindoro
- Calamian Islands
- Marinduque
- Quezon including Polillo Islands
Hazards affecting land areas
Rainfall: Today, Typhoon 'Rolly' will bring moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Aurora and the eastern portions of mainland Cagayan and Isabela.
Light to moderate with ati times heavy rains will be experienced over Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Region, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, and the rest of mainland Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon.
Flooding (including flash floods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards.
Strong winds: Destructive typhoon-force winds will be experienced in areas under TCWS #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1.
Elsewhere, strong breeze to near gale conditions due to the northeasterlies will be experienced over Northern Luzon.
Storm surge: There is a moderate to high risk of storm surge of up to 2.0 m over the coastal areas of Cavite, Bataan, Lubang Island, the southwestern coastal area of Batangas, and the northern coastal area of Occidental Mindoro.
These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and breaking waves reaching the coast can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Today, rough to high seas (2.5 to 9.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboard of areas where TCWS is in effect and rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas (that are not under TCWS) and Caraga.
Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters, especially those under TCWS.
Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over remaining seaboards of the country.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these condition.
TCWS elsewhere has been lowered or lifted.
'Bagyong Rolly' is the Philippines' 18th tropical cyclone for 2020, and the 5th for October.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
PAGASA declared the onset of rainy season on June 12.
— The Summit Express
