MANILA, Philippines – 'Bagyong Quinta' maintains its strength while moving west-northwest towards Bicol Region, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 pm bulletin on Saturday, October 24, 2020.
At 4:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Quinta' was estimated based on all available data at 610 km East of Juban, Sorsogon.
At 4:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Depression 'Quinta' was estimated based on all available data at 610 km East of Juban, Sorsogon.
'Bagyong Quinta' has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 20 km/h.
Track and intensity outlook
Track: 'Quinta' will move generally west-northwestward today, then will turn westward tomorrow morning through Monday. The center of TD 'Quinta' is forecast to make landfall over Bicol Region between Sunday evening and Monday early morning, then track westward over the Southern Luzon area on Monday.
Intensity: It is forecast to steadily intensify to tropical storm category within 12 hours and may reach severe tropical storm category prior to landfall. After crossing the Philippine archipelago, this tropical cyclone may continue intensifying over the West Philippine Sea.
Forecast Position
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS#1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Hazards affecting land
Rainfall: Today through tomorrow morning, the troughs of both Tropical Depression 'Quinta' and Severe Tropical Storm 'Saudel' outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) will bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, and Quezon.
Moreover, a stationary front currently extending over Extreme Northern Luzon associated with the northeasterly surge will bring moderate to heavy rains over Batanes, Cagayan, and the northern portions of Apayao and Ilocos Norte.
Strong Winds: Strong to near gale-force winds will be experienced over areas under TCWS #1 within 36 hours of first raising of the wind signal.
Based on available meteorological data, TCWS #1 may be raised over Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, Rizal, Mindoro Provinces, Romblon, and the rest of the municipalities of Quezon in the next bulletin.
Strong to gale-force winds associated with the northeasterly surge will be experienced over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the northern coastal areas of Ilocos Norte and mainland Cagayan.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Gale warning is in effect over the seaboards of Northern Luzon, and the western seaboards of Central Luzon, Batangas, Occidental Mindoro, and northern Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands due to rough to very rough seas (2.8 to 6.0 m). Sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for small seacrafts.
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) will prevail over the western seaboard of southern Palawan and the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
— The Summit Express
Track and intensity outlook
Track: 'Quinta' will move generally west-northwestward today, then will turn westward tomorrow morning through Monday. The center of TD 'Quinta' is forecast to make landfall over Bicol Region between Sunday evening and Monday early morning, then track westward over the Southern Luzon area on Monday.
Intensity: It is forecast to steadily intensify to tropical storm category within 12 hours and may reach severe tropical storm category prior to landfall. After crossing the Philippine archipelago, this tropical cyclone may continue intensifying over the West Philippine Sea.
Forecast Position
- 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 160 km East of Virac, Catanduanes
- 48 Hour (Monday afternoon):In the vicinity of Mainit, Batangas
- 72 Hour (Tuesday afternoon): 545 km West of Tanauan City, Batangas
- 96 Hour (Wednesday afternoon):910 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS#1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
- Marinduque
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- Northern Samar
- the northern portion of Masbate (Mobo, Uson, Milagros, Masbate City, Baleno, Mandaon, Balud, Aroroy, Dimasalang) including Ticao and Burias Islands
- southern portion of Quezon (Atimonan, Pagbilao, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Unisan, Plaridel, Gumaca, Pitogo, Lopez, Macalelon, General Luna, Catanauan, Mulanay, Buenavista, San Narciso, San Andres, San Francisco, Guinayangan, Calauag, Tagkawayan, Quezon, Alabat, Perez)
Hazards affecting land
Rainfall: Today through tomorrow morning, the troughs of both Tropical Depression 'Quinta' and Severe Tropical Storm 'Saudel' outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) will bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, and Quezon.
Moreover, a stationary front currently extending over Extreme Northern Luzon associated with the northeasterly surge will bring moderate to heavy rains over Batanes, Cagayan, and the northern portions of Apayao and Ilocos Norte.
Strong Winds: Strong to near gale-force winds will be experienced over areas under TCWS #1 within 36 hours of first raising of the wind signal.
Based on available meteorological data, TCWS #1 may be raised over Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, Rizal, Mindoro Provinces, Romblon, and the rest of the municipalities of Quezon in the next bulletin.
Strong to gale-force winds associated with the northeasterly surge will be experienced over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the northern coastal areas of Ilocos Norte and mainland Cagayan.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Gale warning is in effect over the seaboards of Northern Luzon, and the western seaboards of Central Luzon, Batangas, Occidental Mindoro, and northern Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands due to rough to very rough seas (2.8 to 6.0 m). Sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for small seacrafts.
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) will prevail over the western seaboard of southern Palawan and the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
— The Summit Express
