Manila, Philippines - Weather bureau PAGASA has announced the seasonal climate outlook for April to June 2014. At least 3 tropical cyclones (typhoons) are expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) during the said period.
The period covers the gradual shift of the season from NE monsoon to Southwest (SW) monsoon. The weather systems that may influence the country are the ridge of high pressure area (HPA), ITCZ, LPAs and three (3) to six (6) tropical cyclones.
During the period, the mean track of tropical cyclones is located from southern Luzon to central Visayas areas, extending towards the West Philippine Sea.
During April, generally way below normal rainfall are likely to occur in most parts of the country, except in some areas in Western Mindanao and portions of CARAGA Region which are expected to receive near to above normal rainfall.
Likewise, near to above normal rainfall maybe experienced during May and June. This condition may favor the normal onset of the rainy season (latter part of May or early part of June) in areas under climate Type I.
PAGASA also announced that most model forecasts continue to indicate El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral condition into early 2014, with an increasing chance towards a warming trend during Northern Hemisphere summer of 2014.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor these conditions and regular updates and advisories shall be issued as appropriate.
Source: PAGASA-DOST
The period covers the gradual shift of the season from NE monsoon to Southwest (SW) monsoon. The weather systems that may influence the country are the ridge of high pressure area (HPA), ITCZ, LPAs and three (3) to six (6) tropical cyclones.
During the period, the mean track of tropical cyclones is located from southern Luzon to central Visayas areas, extending towards the West Philippine Sea.
During April, generally way below normal rainfall are likely to occur in most parts of the country, except in some areas in Western Mindanao and portions of CARAGA Region which are expected to receive near to above normal rainfall.
Likewise, near to above normal rainfall maybe experienced during May and June. This condition may favor the normal onset of the rainy season (latter part of May or early part of June) in areas under climate Type I.
PAGASA also announced that most model forecasts continue to indicate El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral condition into early 2014, with an increasing chance towards a warming trend during Northern Hemisphere summer of 2014.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor these conditions and regular updates and advisories shall be issued as appropriate.
Source: PAGASA-DOST
